Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 25, 2023 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$68.6K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 25, 2023 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Jul 2023.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 80% on 20 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2023 to 25 Jul 2023, the highest close was 81.5% on 21 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 25 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 65 points down, to 6% on 24 Jul 2023. $68.59K traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 25, 10:12 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 20 Jul 2023 – 25 Jul 2023

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
20 Jul 2023	80.0%
25 Jul 2023	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Worthless-Scarf	Yes	952.17
Salvador-901	Yes	101.72
quickparty	Yes	86.21
Worrisome-Steel	Yes	52.78

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Barbie' has a domestic gross of at least two times the amount of 'Oppenheimer' on their opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The respective "Domestic Weekend" tabs on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1517268/ and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for their 3-day opening weekend (July 21-23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. If there is no final data available by July 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/