Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 29 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 29 Jun 2024 to 21 Jul 2024, the highest close was 43.5% on 11 Jul 2024 and the lowest 3.5% on 29 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 43.5% on 11 Jul 2024. $251.66K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 10:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 29 Jun 2024 – 21 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jun 2024 | 3.5% |
| 21 Jul 2024 | 25.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RRXXRRXX | Yes | 22.8K |
| rexah | Yes | 133.47 |
| nouseforaname | Yes | 100 |
| soheagle | Yes | 16.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and Barack Obama has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Barack Obama or his official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-barack-obama-call-on-biden-to-drop-out
| Agreeable-Blackness | Yes | 9.43 |
| AceHigh425 | No | 5.43 |
| LesterSmith | Yes | 0.39 |
| VibesGreaterRules | No | 0.02 |
| MarekyMarek | Yes | 0.02 |
| polykwarker | No | 0.01 |
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