Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 28 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 16 Mar 2026, the highest close was 23.5% on 28 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 8.6% on 30 Jan 2026.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 9:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 16 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | 23.5% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.22K |
| ruhul011011 | Yes | 705.76 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 396.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two political parties in the election for the unicameral Bangladeshi parliament, the “House of the Nation” (Jatiya Sangsad). For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place parties. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If the two listed parties receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the party whose listed abbreviation comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by October 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bangladesh-parliamentary-election-margin-of-victory
| Yes |
| 320.43 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 250 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 247.27 |
| Jebuu | Yes | 245.13 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 198.96 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 198.03 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
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