Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89.2%. Yes opened at 1.6% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 30 Apr 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 89.2% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 89 points up, to 89.2% on 30 Apr 2026. $67.79K traded over the market's life.
129 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 30 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 1.6% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | 89.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 24.83K |
| mezomix | No | 1.46K |
| tianyagege | No | 1K |
| Misty Falcon 4761 | No | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/best-chinese-ai-company-end-of-april
| BaleanuVT | No | 1K |
| Worthy-Punch | No | 862.54 |
| Indigo Tide 215D | Yes | 685.64 |
| PMPD | No | 593.45 |
| magiccat007 | No | 451.74 |
| Hefty-Bachelor | No | 380.88 |
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