Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 95% on 13 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 132 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 23 Mar 2026, the highest close was 100% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 89.5% on 9 Dec 2025.
81 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 3:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 132 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 23 Mar 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 95.0% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hippopol | No | 13.22K |
| jaycryptoV | No | 3.5K |
| lilkrystall | No | 2.57K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Backpack, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-backpack-launch-a-token-by
| No |
| 2.14K |
| Chocoflan | No | 2K |
| big-tex | No | 1.57K |
| Bully00 | No | 1.02K |
| Warm-Muscatel | No | 1K |
| PuperSuper | No | 1K |
| Pandakh | No | 926.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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