Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 131 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2025 to 17 Nov 2025, the highest close was 48.9% on 9 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 45.2% on 5 Sep 2025. $12.51K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 18, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 131 points, 10 Jul 2025 – 17 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 23.5% |
| 17 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.31K |
| tailevent | Yes | 800 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 764.99 |
This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group D in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group D. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If UEFA Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-wc-qualifying-group-d-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 235 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 132 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 113.13 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 102 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 83 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 62 |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
