Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 15% on 14 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2023 to 1 Dec 2023, the highest close was 15.5% on 17 Oct 2023 and the lowest 1.2% on 1 Dec 2023. $22.39K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 1:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 14 Oct 2023 – 1 Dec 2023, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2023 | 15.0% |
| 1 Dec 2023 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NiceCash | Yes | 91.1 |
| EddyBaby3 | Yes | 41.67 |
| joniponi-695 | Yes | 22.22 |
| RollerCoaster | Yes | 16.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Azerbijan commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Armenia between October 13 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by the Azerbaijan, Armenia, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-azerbaijan-invade-armenia-by-nov-30
| treetuna | Yes | 12.5 |
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