Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 84 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 97.5% on 26 Dec 2023 and the lowest 50% on 10 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 92% on 11 Oct 2023. $1.2K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 10 Oct 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2023 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| whereami | No | 40.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, maintains his position as the Supreme Leader from the time of this market's creation until 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2023. The market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no longer in his position as the Supreme Leader of Iran at any point during this same time period. The resolution will be based on reputable global news sources. In the event of a dispute, the final decision will be made by referencing the official statements from the government of Iran. If the event of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei no longer serving as Supreme Leader occurs before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ayatollah-khamenei-still-be-in-power-in-iran-by-the-end-of-2023
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