Analytics
Yes is at 42%, up 6 points from 36% when the market opened on 24 Jul 2026.
Across the 93 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 69% on 18 Sep 2026 and the lowest 26% on 4 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 34%; a month before, 57%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 65% on 30 Aug 2026.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $37.42K since listing. The order book holds $268.22, with a 32.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 409 trades, $13.44K bought Yes and $520.79 bought No.
The largest Yes position is arawoodos with 165 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 152. Ten wallets hold 90.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 17 Dec 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 93 points, 24 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 36.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 40.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| arawoodos | Yes | 164.81 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 152.1 |
| mamboNB5 | Yes | 144 |
Avengers: Secret Wars is expected to be released on December 17, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof. Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-avengers-secret-wars-be-delayed-20260721153722642
| Nippy-Region |
| No |
| 134.1 |
| bondbondbond | No | 115.1 |
| Anjun | No | 90.99 |
| Deepcoin | Yes | 33.01 |
| UpTheStairs | Yes | 30 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 28 |
| Xan | Yes | 25.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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