Will Avengers: Doomsday Trailer get between 55 and 60 million views on Day 1?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 21, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$545

Resolved

Settled

Jul 21, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 21 Jul 2026.

$544.66 traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 10:37 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 21 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–55%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Jul 2026	50.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.14K
balthazar	Yes	169.84
TENETENET	Yes	100
.Menthe	Yes	50
mustbethewater	Yes	50
nonono001	Yes	27
triklozoid	Yes	15
Anon321321321	Yes	10
Mojito9	Yes	10
Grandiose-Layer	Yes	5

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Avengers: Doomsday Official Trailer YouTube video posted by Marvel on July 20, 2026 gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Marvel’s YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@Marvel/videos), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. If the resolution source is unavailable exactly 24 hours after the video was first posted, this market will resolve according to the latest confirmed number of views up until that point. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Avengers: Doomsday | Official Trailer | In Theaters December 18", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irVNGjRFZGk. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.