Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 22 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50% on 15 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 22 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 7.5% on 17 Dec 2025. $24.93K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 2:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 22 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 38.5% |
| 22 Dec 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| tailevent | Yes | 599.99 |
| Loeinad | Yes | 482.16 |
| 0xSandworm | Yes | 450.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Avatar: Fire and Ash (2025) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on December 22. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by December 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/avatar-fire-and-ash-rotten-tomatoes-score-118
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 424 |
| mrdirty | Yes | 314.33 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 280 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 272 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 187 |
| Tart-Trolley | Yes | 169.46 |
