Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 23 Dec 2025, the highest close was 44% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 13.9% on 22 Dec 2025. $147.12K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 24, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 23 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 36.5% |
| 23 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 63.67K |
| Anjun | Yes | 10.92K |
| 8dkEIn39TN230NEDll3 | Yes | 1.23K |
| safubets | Yes | 999.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 19 - December 21) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by December 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.the-numbers.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/avatar-fire-and-ash-opening-weekend-box-office-766
| Stpabv | Yes | 671.58 |
| Phoenix174 | Yes | 428.17 |
| fuxkingbanker | Yes | 411.27 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 389 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 377 |
| dumbestdollars | Yes | 369.6 |
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