Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 78%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 93.5% on 10 Nov 2025 and the low 69.5% on 8 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 79% on 15 Nov 2025. $1.75K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 162 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 18 Nov 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 74.5% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Desconocido | No | 7.89 |
| cybercockroach | No | 5.13 |
| Agile-Coincidence | No | 2.63 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L:
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
