Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 30 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 53 daily closes on record from 30 Aug 2023 to 21 Oct 2023, the highest close was 22.5% on 31 Aug 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 16 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 22.5% on 31 Aug 2023. $2.91K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 30 Aug 2023 – 21 Oct 2023, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2023 | 10.5% |
| 21 Oct 2023 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Loj-295 | Yes | 7.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Australian Indigenous Voice referendum is accepted (or "carried") by a 'double majority' of voters, as described here: https://www.aec.gov.au/referendums/referendums-101.htm If upon its vote the referendum is not accepted (or "carried") by a 'double majority' of votes, this market will resolve to "No". If the referendum vote does not commence by December 16, 2023 11:59 PM AWST (Australian Western Standard Time), this market will resolve to "No". Official information from the Australian government, including the results published by the Australian Electoral Commission on the AEC website (e.g., https://www.aec.gov.au/ or https://www.aec.gov.au/elections/referendums/referendum_dates_and_results.htm) will be used to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-australias-indigenous-voice-referendum-pass
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