What is the “Will Atvara win Supernova 2026?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Atvara win Supernova 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Feb 14, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Latvia: Supernova 2026, who will represent Latvia in the 2026 Eurovision song contest. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Latvia: Supernova 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Supernova rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Supernova…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($4.61K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$2.87K
No buy at 0.1%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Feb 15, 12:00 AM
Points
55
Move
+62 pts
Range
8.0% - 100.0%
Dec 23, 12:00 AM to Feb 15, 12:00 AM
Feb 12, 12:00 AM
30.0%
30.0%
Feb 11, 12:00 AM
27.0%
27.0%
Feb 10, 12:00 AM
21.5%
21.5%
Feb 9, 12:00 AM
27.5%
27.5%
Feb 8, 12:00 AM
18.5%
18.5%
Feb 7, 12:00 AM
22.0%
22.0%
Feb 6, 12:00 AM
25.5%
25.5%
Feb 5, 12:00 AM
20.5%
20.5%
Feb 4, 12:00 AM
33.0%
33.0%
Feb 3, 12:00 AM
25.0%
25.0%
Feb 2, 12:00 AM
28.5%
28.5%
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
34.5%
34.5%
Jan 31, 12:00 AM
42.0%
42.0%
Jan 30, 12:00 AM
31.0%
31.0%
Jan 29, 12:00 AM
28.0%
28.0%
Jan 28, 12:00 AM
34.0%
34.0%
Jan 27, 12:00 AM
28.0%
28.0%
Jan 26, 12:00 AM
26.0%
26.0%
Jan 25, 12:00 AM
26.5%
26.5%
Jan 24, 12:00 AM
26.5%
26.5%
Jan 23, 12:00 AM
30.5%
30.5%
Jan 22, 12:00 AM
31.0%
31.0%
Jan 21, 12:00 AM
25.0%
25.0%
Jan 20, 12:00 AM
20.0%
20.0%
Jan 19, 12:00 AM
17.5%
17.5%
Jan 18, 12:00 AM
18.0%
18.0%
Jan 17, 12:00 AM
19.5%
19.5%
Jan 16, 12:00 AM
21.0%
21.0%
Jan 15, 12:00 AM
21.5%
21.5%
Jan 14, 12:00 AM
22.0%
22.0%
Jan 13, 12:00 AM
15.5%
15.5%
Jan 12, 12:00 AM
20.5%
20.5%
Jan 11, 12:00 AM
21.0%
21.0%
Jan 10, 12:00 AM
18.5%
18.5%
Jan 9, 12:00 AM
23.0%
23.0%
Jan 8, 12:00 AM
19.5%
19.5%
Jan 7, 12:00 AM
23.0%
23.0%
Jan 6, 12:00 AM
24.5%
24.5%
Jan 5, 12:00 AM
25.5%
25.5%
Jan 4, 12:00 AM
29.5%
29.5%
Jan 3, 12:00 AM
22.5%
22.5%
Jan 2, 12:00 AM
20.5%
20.5%
Jan 1, 12:00 AM
8.0%
8.0%
Dec 31, 12:00 AM
19.0%
19.0%
Dec 30, 12:00 AM
24.0%
24.0%
Dec 29, 12:00 AM
29.5%
29.5%
Dec 28, 12:00 AM
31.5%
31.5%
Dec 27, 12:00 AM
26.5%
26.5%
Dec 26, 12:00 AM
16.0%
16.0%
Dec 25, 12:00 AM
17.0%
17.0%
Dec 24, 12:00 AM
34.0%
34.0%
Dec 23, 12:00 AM
37.5%
37.5%
Miks GalvanovskisWill Miks Galvanovskis win Supernova 2026?
Vultax loaded 13 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 99.1% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Feb 16, 12:23 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-atvara-win-supernova-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
