Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.1%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 15 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 15 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32.3% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 18 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 32.2% on 27 Apr 2026. $1.5K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 15 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2026 | 30.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 12.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wowWonder | Yes | 11.29 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 5 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 0.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the NBA Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the 2026 NBA Finals (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Finals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-playoffs-team-to-advance-to-nba-finals
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
