Analytics
Resolved No on 29 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 7 Jan 2023. Before it settled, across the 130 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2023 to 29 May 2023 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63% on 14 Jan 2023 and the lowest 3% on 21 Mar 2023. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 45% on 16 Apr 2023. $5.11K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 130 points, 7 Jan 2023 – 29 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2023 | 50.0% |
| 29 May 2023 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Atlas D24C | Yes | 747.35K |
| Azure Pioneer 2B7E | Yes | 25 |
| Emerald Voyager B06D | No | 15.72 |
This is a market on whether Atiku Abubakar will be elected president of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the upcoming presidential election scheduled for February 25, 2023. If Atiku Abubakar is elected President of Nigeria, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Nigerian government and/or information published through the official website of the Nigerian Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/elections/election-results/). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.
Resolution source: https://www.inecnigeria.org/elections/election-results/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-2023-nigerian-presidential-election
| motherbear | No | 15 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 0.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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