
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 23 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 23 Dec 2025 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 28% on 27 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 28% on 27 Dec 2025.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 9:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 23 Dec 2025 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | 10.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.26K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 967.42 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Melodifestivalen 2026, who will represent Sweden in the 2026 Eurovision song contest. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Melodifestivalen 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Melodifestivalen rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Melodifastivalen (https://eurovisionworld.com/national/sweden/melodifestivalen-2026), including live footage of Melodifestivalen 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/melodifestivalen-2026-winner
| Yes |
| 154 |
| pacaobei | Yes | 140 |
| shangangbi | Yes | 122.5 |
| puzhuitao | Yes | 121.5 |
| panglayun | Yes | 91.5 |
| fenwudui | Yes | 73.75 |
| Swemoose | Yes | 65.14 |
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