Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?

Resolved

No, settled May 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$7.8K

Resolved

Settled

May 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.3%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026, the highest close was 9.7% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 4.3% on 23 Apr 2026. $7.79K traded over the market's life.

28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 2, 3:40 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 2%–12%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Apr 2026	4.3%
1 May 2026	9.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	4.56K
CristianC	Yes	2.1K
42ds	Yes	434.3
ronnietwotoes	Yes	398

10 of 28 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.