Analytics
Yes is at 3.2%, down 38 points from 41.5% when the market opened on 9 Sep 2026.
The high was 41.5% on 9 Sep 2026 and the low 2.1% on 5 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.5%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 24.5% on 10 Sep 2026.
Arsenal ranks ninth of the 36 outcomes in “UEFA Champions League: League Phase Largest Goal Differential”. Bayern Munich leads at 31.5%; Barcelona is at 23.5%.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.22K since listing. The order book holds $723.76, with a 5.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 47 trades, $28.49 bought Yes and $354.66 bought No.
The largest Yes position is cmx5 with 235 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 573.
Trading closes on 28 Feb 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 7:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 29 points · 9 Sep 2026 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 41.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 3.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 572.83 |
| cmx5 | Yes | 234.9 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 144 |
This market will resolve to the club that finishes the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League with the best goal differential. Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the play-off round, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the club that scored the most total goals in the league phase. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the club that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-league-phase-largest-goal-differential
24 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| Dr.PNL |
| Yes |
| 60.01 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 20.03 |
| ramc2005 | Yes | 20 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 20 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 20 |
| boempie | Yes | 20 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 20 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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