Analytics
Resolved No on 14 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 17 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 61% on 15 Feb 2026 and the low 28% on 14 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 40% on 12 Mar 2026. $67.53K traded over the market's life.
102 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 15, 10:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 86 points · 17 Jan 2026 – 14 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | 51.5% |
| 14 May 2026 | 28.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alixBZ | Yes | 1.48K |
| Comfortable-Response | Yes | 1.34K |
| PERASTIKOS | Yes | 1.13K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurovision-2026-second-semi-final
| Yes |
| 934.37 |
| Nondas | Yes | 801.3 |
| micohen | Yes | 544.76 |
| KeV180 | Yes | 525 |
| MajoriT | Yes | 500 |
| darling33X | Yes | 485.51 |
| ROYALARTHUR | Yes | 453.45 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
