Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0%; no result has been reported.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2024 to 7 Mar 2024, the highest close was 50% on 1 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 0.5% on 2 Mar 2024.
$37.69K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Annonna with 5 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 45.3K.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 3:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Mar 2024 – 7 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2024 | 50.0% |
| 7 Mar 2024 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 45.25K |
| Annonna | Yes | 5 |
| sharingan-kakashi | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Arkansas Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. ‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election. The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trumps-worst-state-on-super-tuesday
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