Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 4 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 121 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2025 to 3 Mar 2026, the highest close was 94% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 4% on 15 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 6.5% on 5 Nov 2025. $23.21K traded over the market's life.
291 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 121 points, 4 Nov 2025 – 3 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 3 Mar 2026 | 94.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Kestrel 495E | No | 494.06 |
| Neon Atlas 08FC | No | 441 |
| Bold Scout 0762 | No | 437 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship. If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball conference tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big 12 or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team. If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Official resolution will be based on the Big 12’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on big12sports.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/big-12-mens-college-basketball-2025-2026-regular-season-champion
| No |
| 372 |
| Silver Orbit CC52 | No | 350 |
| Cobalt Signal D6CF | No | 339 |
| Neon Beacon B51E | No | 336 |
| Amber Raven 8220 | No | 332 |
| Bright Vector EEBF | No | 332 |
| Violet Atlas 05F0 | No | 312 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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