Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 4 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 105 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2025 to 15 Feb 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 4 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 15 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 9% on 5 Nov 2025. $2.82K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 12:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 105 points, 4 Nov 2025 – 15 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hot-Anyone | Yes | 1K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 425 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 294 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship. If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball conference tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big 12 or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team. If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Official resolution will be based on the Big 12’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on big12sports.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/big-12-mens-college-basketball-2025-2026-regular-season-champion
| Yes |
| 293 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 263 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 132.3 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 131 |
| 0x152 | Yes | 30 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 30 |
| isiba | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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