Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.5%. Yes opened at 19% on 25 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2024 to 9 Nov 2024, the highest close was 93.5% on 9 Nov 2024 and the lowest 12.5% on 4 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 76% on 7 Nov 2024. $26.96K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 10, 9:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 25 Oct 2024 – 9 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2024 | 19.0% |
| 9 Nov 2024 | 93.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.67K |
| Bold Kestrel 6D1D | No | 50 |
| bbaaggrrzuz4 | Yes | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arizona is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/last-state-to-be-called-in-presidential-election
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 0.01 |
| crayonred6666666 | Yes | 0.01 |
