Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.3%. Yes opened at 57% on 5 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2026 to 15 Aug 2026, the highest close was 98.3% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 57% on 5 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 88% on 6 Aug 2026. $3.44K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 16, 8:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 5 Aug 2026 – 15 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | 57.0% |
| 15 Aug 2026 | 96.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 66 |
| Better-Browsing | No | 50 |
| menthe2 | No | 49.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande has a monthly listeners of greater than or equal to the specified figure according to Spotify at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the specified artist's total. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ariana-grande-monthly-listeners-hits-by-august-31-20260802164037394
| PPMT | No | 45 |
| gcjames | No | 20 |
| TitoFloren | No | 20 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
