Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$621

Resolved

Settled

Jun 12, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 12 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 48% on 14 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 14 May 2026 to 12 Jun 2026, the highest close was 48% on 14 May 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 11 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 25% on 15 May 2026. $620.62 traded over the market's life.

26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 13, 5:15 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 14 May 2026 – 12 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 May 2026	48.0%
12 Jun 2026	0.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	373.21
TENETENET	Yes	99.98
triklozoid	Yes	49.98
bjprolo	Yes	30

10 of 26 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.