Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$38.2K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 15, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 29.5%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71.5% on 28 Mar 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 20 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 67% on 26 Mar 2026. $38.16K traded over the market's life.

62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 16, 2:01 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
18 Mar 2026	34.5%
9 Apr 2026	70.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	5.3K
danielosinsider	Yes	3.97K
Jade Pulse 30D3	Yes	3.3K
Thin-Pendant	Yes	515.96

10 of 62 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.