Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?

economyResolved

No, settled Aug 13, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$11.7K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 13, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 40%. Yes opened at 62% on 16 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2026 to 13 Aug 2026, the highest close was 68% on 7 Aug 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 17 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 33.5% on 17 Jul 2026. $11.68K traded over the market's life.

23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 16 Jul 2026 – 13 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
16 Jul 2026	62.0%
13 Aug 2026	60.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.91K
Giddy-Loquat	Yes	816.26
kuisaseo	Yes	453
Exalted-Waist	Yes	141.54

10 of 23 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.