Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 10, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.4K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 10, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 27% on 15 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 10 Sep 2026, the highest close was 27% on 15 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 8 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 0.5% on 16 Aug 2026. $1.37K traded over the market's life.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 10 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Aug 2026	27.0%
10 Sep 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.08K
mustbethewater	Yes	225.61
Fair-Tan	Yes	172.85
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.