
Resolved Yes on 23 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 85.5% on 19 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2023 to 23 Oct 2023, the highest close was 97.5% on 23 Oct 2023 and the lowest 84% on 20 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 97.5% on 23 Oct 2023. $7.01K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 11:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 19 Oct 2023 – 23 Oct 2023, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2023 | 85.5% |
| 23 Oct 2023 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Facu | No | 667.13 |
| winging_it_as_usual | No | 122.06 |
| VLLC | No | 110.92 |
| javher88 | No | 5.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2023 Argentina presidential election requires a second round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Argentina's government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/elecciones-2023), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-argentina-presidential-election-go-to-a-second-round
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