
Resolved Yes on 22 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 18%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 20 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2025 to 22 Mar 2025, the highest close was 29.5% on 20 Mar 2025 and the lowest 18% on 22 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 18% on 22 Mar 2025. $44.68K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 4:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Mar 2025 – 22 Mar 2025, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2025 | 29.5% |
| 22 Mar 2025 | 18.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 196.29 |
| SuARas | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the outcome of the FIFA World Cup Qualifiers match between Uruguay vs. Argentina, scheduled for March 21, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “Draw”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/en
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-world-cup-qualifiers-argentina-vs-uruguay
New to prediction markets?