What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 58.0¢ and No at 42.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 58.0% for Yes and 42.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arch Network officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Arch Network will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arch Network (https://x.com/ArchNtwrk), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($1.81) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($152.65) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 10 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 3, 9:00 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-arch-network-launch-a-token-by) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Arch Network launch a token by December 31, 2026? Odds

Market referencewill-arch-network-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026Updated 6m ago

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTCarch-networkcrypto

Yes

58.0%

42.0%

Buy Yes 58¢Buy No 42¢

24h Volume

Liquidity

$153

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

58¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

58.0%

42.0%

24h volume

$1.81

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 58¢

Open in terminal$1.81 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

just now

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

22.0%

Observed

6m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

58.0%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

112.91 / 112.62

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
AJSV	Yes	87.91	47.4%	$87.91	Sep 27, 12:54 PM UTC
hithitfar	No	41.5	45.4%	$7.7	Sep 30, 12:21 PM UTC

Will Arch Network launch a token by ___?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Arch Network launch a token by December 31, 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Arch Network launch a token by December 31, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Arch Network launch a token by ___?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 58.0¢ and No at 42.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 58.0% for Yes and 42.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arch Network officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Arch Network will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arch Network (https://x.com/ArchNtwrk), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($1.81) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($152.65) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

AJSV

Yes

87.91

47.4%

$87.91

Sep 27, 12:54 PM UTC

hithitfar

41.5

45.4%

$7.7

Sep 30, 12:21 PM UTC

Trader	Current holding value
AJSV	$50.99
hithitfar	$17.43
Slackjaw	$11.6
UpTheStairs	$10.33
Dr.PNL	$9.17
sludgelife	$3.85
YotamF	$3.78
CheChe-0	$2.9
xixihaha009	$2.1
F0EDaD999a2E64C9594d645F5Dd83B09526C87B1	$0.64