Analytics
Resolved No on 10 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 12 Apr 2024. Before it settled, the high was 24.5% on 12 Apr 2024 and the low 0.7% on 10 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 12.5% on 13 Apr 2024. $63.63K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 4:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 29 points · 12 Apr 2024 – 10 May 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2024 | 24.5% |
| 10 May 2024 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 76.16K |
| Cobalt Falcon BF17 | No | 0.03 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
asd
Resolution source: https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-hot-will-april-2024-be
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
