Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63%. Yes opened at 82.5% on 6 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 6 Sep 2025 to 9 Sep 2025, the highest close was 89.5% on 7 Sep 2025 and the lowest 37% on 9 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 53 points down, to 37% on 9 Sep 2025. $15.01K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 6 Sep 2025 – 9 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2025 | 82.5% |
| 9 Sep 2025 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 854A7843 | Yes | 4.6K |
| YoungJug | Yes | 1.8K |
| Attractive-Trowel | Yes | 190 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 160 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Apple has scheduled a launch event for September 9, 2025, at 1 PM ET. (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/26/apple-announces-iphone-launch-on-sept-9-.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces the above-specified product during this event. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple products are released, each relevant market may resolve to "Yes". This market may not resolve to "No" until the September 9 launch event is concluded. If this event does not occur by September 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be an official feed of the event and information from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H3KnMyojEQU
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-product-will-apple-launch-on-september-9
| penber | Yes | 151.76 |
| Worgo1 | Yes | 125.27 |
| Uin0 | Yes | 111.53 |
| CrazyS | Yes | 54.56 |
| joef4040 | Yes | 46.14 |
| trender-144 | Yes | 20 |
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