Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12% on 3 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 14% on 22 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 14% on 22 Sep 2025. $39.39K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 3 Sep 2025 – 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2025 | 12.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.19K |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 174 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Mistral AI will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Apple (Apple inc.) by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Mistral AI will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple or Mistral AI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-apple-acquire-mistral-before-by-november-30
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