Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77.5%. Yes opened at 42% on 18 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2025 to 23 Oct 2025, the highest close was 64.5% on 22 Oct 2025 and the lowest 22.5% on 23 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 22.5% on 23 Oct 2025. $586.95 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 18 Oct 2025 – 23 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | 42.0% |
| 23 Oct 2025 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| geoguesser00 | Yes | 25.64 |
| NextBachelor | Yes | 14.49 |
| Notmarkp | Yes | 6.41 |
| jhjgh | Yes | 6.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The second NYC mayoral debate is currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2025, 7 PM ET. More here: https://www.nycvotes.org/whats-on-the-ballot/2025-nyc-candidate-debates/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., "joyful" is not a compound word for "joy"; however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about the named debate. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If the event has not aired in its entirety by October 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no appearance is aired by this time, or if it is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the audio/video of the listed event.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ot6zbhPLs4Y
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-at-2nd-nyc-mayoral-debate
| Mmrk | No | 5 |
| arb69 | Yes | 2.05 |
| ChaimBergstein | Yes | 1.61 |
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