Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 51%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 11 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 49% on 11 Sep 2026. $69.73 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 11 Sep 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
"Freedom Built to Last: Honoring Charlie Kirk" is scheduled to take place on September 10, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET at the UCCU Center in Orem, Utah. (https://nfpevents.tpusa.com/events/uvu-memorial) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video from the livestream of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-during-the-charlie-kirk-memorial-20260909
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