Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Aug 2026.
$1.14K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 14 Aug 2026, chart shows 76%–88%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 81.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| menthe2 | No | 49.99 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the NASA news conference on an event at Kennedy Space Center tied to America's 250th anniversary, currently scheduled to take place on August 14, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event from: https://www.youtube.com/live/I_GUQdY01b0. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-during-the-nasa-news-conference-20260812230553165
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