Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 20% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 20% on 10 Jun 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 8 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 7.5% on 3 Jul 2026. $14.86K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 9:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 12 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 20.0% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hmblc | Yes | 704.03 |
| Moral-Flag | Yes | 553.34 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | Yes | 356.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-team-participate-in-3-penalty-shootouts-in-the-knockout-phase-20260609220918856
| Yes |
| 150 |
| Rowdy-Arena | Yes | 150 |
| Bumpy-Sultan | Yes | 148.14 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 131.43 |
| nikitosster | Yes | 100 |
| asdssss | Yes | 59.5 |
| Ignorant-Watchmaker | Yes | 55.56 |
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