Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 29 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 29 Jun 2024 to 11 Jul 2024, the highest close was 99.5% on 11 Jul 2024 and the lowest 33% on 1 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 51 points up, to 99.5% on 11 Jul 2024. $21.75K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 2:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 29 Jun 2024 – 11 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jun 2024 | 62.5% |
| 11 Jul 2024 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mousam | Yes | 30.56 |
| neggy | Yes | 0.52 |
| 0x88 | Yes | 0.05 |
| Rash-Regulation | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Democratic senator publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and any Democratic senator has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No." A senator will be considered to be a member of the party they caucus with. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Democratic senators or their official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-democratic-senator-call-on-biden-to-drop-out
| 7153649820 | No | 0.02 |
| wahoowa | Yes | 0.02 |
| awsedawseda | Yes | 0.01 |
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