Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 18 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2023 to 25 Oct 2023, the highest close was 31.5% on 20 Oct 2023 and the lowest 20.5% on 22 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 23% on 21 Oct 2023. $14.75K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 5:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 18 Oct 2023 – 25 Oct 2023, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2023 | 21.5% |
| 25 Oct 2023 | 23.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Democratic congressperson votes for the next person elected Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a vote which successfully elects a new Speaker will count toward this market's resolution. If no Speaker is elected before December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-dem-vote-for-the-next-speaker
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