
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 13% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 75 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 16 May 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 44.5% on 16 May 2026. $60.81K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 13.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 1.01K |
| notalkletsplay | Yes | 247.25 |
| ProudIsraeliGuy | Yes | 123.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump and the United States sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new country joins the Board of Peace between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-country-join-the-board-of-peace-by-june-30-128
| Yes |
| 100 |
| Mellow-Tunnel | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Lakewoodlenny | Yes | 33.33 |
| Worse-Scenario | Yes | 26.9 |
| gjvjgjvvjv | Yes | 20 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 18.29 |
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