Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 50% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 224 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 5 Aug 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 55% on 22 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.9% on 4 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 34% on 27 Dec 2025. $1.49K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 5:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 224 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 5 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 118.25 |
| Indigo Beacon 156D | Yes | 95 |
| graccius2 | Yes | 44.41 |
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wa-03-primary-winners
| Worse-Scenario | Yes | 31 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| gigantic-enigma | Yes | 20 |
| niglette | Yes | 18.57 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 13.3 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 9.9 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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