Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 3.7% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 3.7% on 12 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 14 Dec 2025. $6.62K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 25, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 24 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 3.7% |
| 24 Dec 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.87K |
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 900 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 363 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 355 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 280 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 181 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 40 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the Human trader with the highest Total PnL at the end of the Aster Human vs AI trading competition. The resolution source will be the Human leaderboard on https://www.asterdex.com/en/campaigns/human-vs-ai, viewable under the Human tab. If two or more participants are tied for the highest Total PnL at the time of resolution, the market will resolve to the participant whose display name appears first in the ordering used on the official Aster Human leaderboard. If the competition is not completed or the official leaderboard is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by Aster. If no such data becomes available by December 31, 2025 ET, the market will resolve to “Other”.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-aster-trading-competition-357
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