
Resolved No on 24 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 21 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 32% on 22 May 2025 and the low 14.5% on 24 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 16.5% on 23 May 2025. $2.66K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 25, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 21 May 2025 – 24 May 2025 · axis zoomed to 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2025 | 22.5% |
| 24 May 2025 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Tag | Yes | 100.6 |
| AWOTG | No | 64.5 |
| Bold Scout 1503 | Yes | 43.93 |
| Lenton | Yes | 33.55 |
| thoughtcrimeboss | Yes | 30 |
| Jonathandoover | Yes | 14.71 |
| markonien | Yes | 5.56 |
| BananaBoat | Yes | 3.57 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
As of May 20, 12:00 PM, 6 of the 10 inmates who escaped from a New Orleans jail remain at large (see: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-orleans-inmates-escape-update/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual us placed physically into the custody of any law enforcement agency by May 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government authorities.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-inmates-will-be-captured-by-friday
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