Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 17 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 17 May 2026 to 1 Jun 2026, the highest close was 53% on 25 May 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 11.5% on 26 May 2026. $648.95 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 1:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 17 May 2026 – 1 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 40.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 269.08 |
| niglette | Yes | 19.41 |
| Bright Pioneer 6634 | Yes | 14.25 |
| Nexuus | Yes | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Monday, May 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit. Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point. If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest. If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket. If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-it-take-ant-middleton-to-summit-everest-924
| Avvnnnn | Yes | 10 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 10 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 8 |
| Paul4President | Yes | 7.81 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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