Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 17 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 41.5% on 17 May 2026 and the low 0.3% on 30 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 14% on 18 May 2026. $3.76K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 1:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 17 May 2026 – 1 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | 41.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 269.08 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Scalped | Yes | 40.58 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Ant Middleton is scheduled to climb from Base Camp to the summit of Everest, beginning Monday, May 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Ant Middleton to reach the summit. Middleton's climb will begin when the event's official timer begins, and considered completed when that timer marks its end point. If no timer is available, the climb will begin when he leaves Base Camp, and considered completed when he places a flag at the summit of Mt. Everest. If Ant Middleton reaches the summit and places the flag in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longer time bracket. If Ant Middleton's summit attempt is canceled, postponed after June 30, 2026, abandoned before completion, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the livestream of Middleton's climb (including footage of his stopwatch if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-it-take-ant-middleton-to-summit-everest-924
| PPMT | Yes | 30.05 |
| Bright Pioneer 6634 | Yes | 25.54 |
| Decent-Muskrat | Yes | 13.33 |
| Avvnnnn | Yes | 13 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 12 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 10 |
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