Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 21 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2023 to 1 Feb 2024, the highest close was 71.5% on 6 Jan 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 40% on 27 Dec 2023. $85.28K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 5:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 21 Dec 2023 – 1 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2023 | 37.5% |
| 1 Feb 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RandomNameForNow | Yes | 10.42 |
| Crimson Signal 8889 | Yes | 7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Dec 19, the Colorado Supreme Court voted in a 4-3 decision that Trump was barred from appearing on Colorado’s 2024 presidential primary ballot. This market will resolve to “Yes” if another state's court votes to bar Trump from its respective ballot (primary/caucus and/or general) by January 31, 2024, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Note that if another state's court votes to bar Trump from its respective ballot, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of whether the decision is overturned by a higher court. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-another-state-disqualify-trump-from-ballot-by-jan-31
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