Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89%. Yes opened at 11% on 2 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2024 to 4 Nov 2024, the highest close was 11% on 2 Nov 2024 and the lowest 8.5% on 3 Nov 2024. $10.57K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 4:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 2 Nov 2024 – 4 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2024 | 11.0% |
| 4 Nov 2024 | 11.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.14K |
| Open-Scientist | Yes | 395.83 |
| hooo | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The stream can be viewed here: https://www.twitch.tv/threadguy The House Poker Night is scheduled for November 3, 2024 (https://x.com/notthreadguy/status/1850328618322280637) This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player other than Ansem, threadguy, Malcolm, Frank Degods, Ansem, Bitboy, based16z, Bryce Hall, or rasmr is the first player during this event to bust. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this event is cancelled or rescheduled to a date later than November 30, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the event that two players bust at the same time, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed first name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from this event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-house-poker-night-first-player-felted
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